072 - Offspring

This is one of the weirdest pages of the whole webcomic.

I mean... Pinkie is doing maths and trying to be rational.

2014-01-20 03:00:00

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Alan S.
Hasbro's wet dream.
2014-01-20 03:54:21
Irrespondible With a Vengeance... of PINK MAYHEM!!!
2014-01-20 04:17:45
Fluttering Speed
I wonder how pinkie's rules would be... 50 parties per day and cakes for each meal?
2014-01-20 05:03:08
Oy! Pinkie! Leave the mathematics and logic to professionals. Or at the very least more intelligent ponies like Twilight!

And Twilight? I'm very disappointed in you for getting caught up in Pinkie's nonsense. Although given you're a princess and your friends are not might have prompted you to abandon your usual logical capabilities...

Yes, yes, while it is true that 2.3^(1000/30)≈ 1,141,811,818,483, aren't you (other than having an over-simplified model), making several errors?
1. It is very possible that the 2.3 multiplier was only for the generations you studied and not necessarily applicable for those who were directly related to the Royal Pony Sisters.
2. Do ponies live forever? Because if they don't, this model is definitely flawed as the 230% growth rate assumes absolutely no deaths...
3. And really, just because we know what the fertility rate is doesn't mean we actually know what the true population growth rate is... Also, the fact that your simplistic model predicts a population that far exceeds the current population just means that your model is seriously flawed somewhere... not that everyone is necessarily related to the Royal Pony Sisters...
2014-01-20 07:19:32
There's a much more elementary error in these calculations:
Every pony has 2 parents. This means if the average pony has 2.3 children, the population modifier per generation is 2.3/2=1.15 and not 2.3. Over 1000/30 generations this leads to a population multiplier of merely 105.5 and not 1.14*10^12.
2014-01-20 09:41:52
@Over-Analyzed, @McKay:
Yeah, but you all know that something so petty like the result doesn't making sense at all wouldn't stop Pinkie. :P
2014-01-20 13:22:08
Aka Red
And you get to be a princess, and you get to be a princess!! Every one gets to be a princess!!!
2014-01-20 16:39:14
Midnight Sun
Oh dear god. Alicorn Twilight was enough, but can you imagine Alicorn Pinkie? The death toll would be in the millions.
2014-01-20 18:39:33
All hail Princess Snips!
2014-01-20 22:49:56
the tie in storybook that i looked up on tvtropes says cadance was promoted to alicorn and adopted
2014-01-21 01:01:04
Storm Zephyr
I remember that from BBC's article "Family trees: Tracing the world's ancestor".
2014-01-21 03:36:56
hue CX
2014-01-21 05:22:37
Unfortunately, Word of Faust says that Celestia and Luna have no children of their own.
2014-01-21 05:46:05

And since when has Word of Faust stopped Hasbro or the current writers. Perfect example was that Cadence wasn't supposed to be a Princess or an Alicorn, but rather a regular pegasus. This was effectively retconned in Cadance's book, but still. Another example was that she didn't want RD to become Scoot's role model much less sister. (Note how Scoot's idolization of RD is portrayed in a negative light in the first two seasons.)

Regardless, whether they officially have children or not it is unlikely that someone isn't the slightest bit related to them as Cadance is supposed to be descended from their the Royal Sisters' Mother's lineage.

Sigh, the canon backstory brings up sooooooo many questions lol.
2014-01-21 10:11:43

Actually, Cadance were supposed to be unicorn first, which got changed to alicorn, and then in books revealed she was pegasus before alicornization.
2014-01-21 10:17:20
@Over-Analyzed, @McKay
You both forgot the most important flaw: this model assumes that nopony related to the Sisters breeds with another pony related to the Sisters. That's why the multiplier is 2.3 instead of 1.15, and how the population of ponies related to the Sisters ends up greater than the total population.
2014-01-21 10:37:52
2014-01-21 14:05:11
2014-01-21 18:27:18
This makes no sense.

Which, on the other hand, is logical.

Gotta love contradictions and paradoxes when Pinkie is nearby.
2014-01-21 21:14:38
Cave Johnson
Wow. Does that mean I can do some complicated ancestor calculations too?
2014-01-21 21:17:13
That Pinkie's face in the 4th panel.
2014-01-21 21:19:49
Fadri, you're the best xD
2014-01-23 21:03:34
Looks like Spike is not included in the alicorn party! Poor Spike.
2014-01-26 21:24:59
Alex Warlorn
Wysteria from G3 did the 'everypony is a princess' first. And in that one Spike DID get declared a princess too (and it was as awkward for him as you'd think).
2014-01-28 07:52:05
Except you spike, you little shit.
2014-02-03 07:04:54
2014-03-05 02:16:01
You should post these on tumblr.
2014-03-18 22:36:32
Nah, Princess Discord was enough. I am content.
2014-08-13 17:04:29
This model is flawed an actuate model would have to consider gene lines folding back on themselves. Reproduction of organisms with common ancestors is safe as long at the common ancestor is at least 8 generations removed an accurate statistical model would have to account for this as this becomes an issue after generation 8 of 33. as well as numerous other factors including statistical variance in offspring. Additionally it would seem royal genes have a distinct reproduction disadvantage.

We need a evolutionary biologist, a geneticist and a statisticians STAT.
2014-08-19 08:07:56
Poor Spike.
2014-10-17 10:43:10
So, why do you hate Spike?
2014-10-17 10:45:01
Poor Spike.
2014-12-10 21:53:57
How did Pinkie get so smart?
2015-06-02 00:09:17

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